How do real estate speculators speculate on new houses: Revealing the popular real estate speculation techniques and data analysis in the past 10 days
In recent years, the operating methods of real estate speculators in the new home market have continued to evolve. Based on the real estate topics that have been hotly discussed on the Internet in the past 10 days, we have sorted out the latest real estate speculation strategies and hot content. This article will use structured data and analysis to reveal how house speculators make profits in the new home market.
1. Top 5 real estate hot topics in the past 10 days
| Ranking | hot topics | Discussion popularity | Related cities |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New house lottery vulnerability exploit | 985,000 | Hangzhou, Chengdu |
| 2 | Developer internal subscription | 762,000 | Guangzhou, Shenzhen |
| 3 | Ways to circumvent purchase restriction policies | 658,000 | Shanghai, Beijing |
| 4 | False divorce house purchase | 534,000 | Many cities across the country |
| 5 | Real estate crowdfunding and real estate speculation | 421,000 | Chongqing, Wuhan |
2. Five common techniques used by real estate speculators to speculate on new houses.
1.Lottery arbitrage: Use multiple ID cards to participate in the lottery for new houses, and immediately resell them for profit after winning the lottery. Some real estate speculators organize "lottery groups" and gather hundreds of qualified property buyers to participate in the lottery for popular real estate properties.
2.Internal subscription: Lock in high-quality housing in advance through a special relationship with the developer’s sales staff. Data shows that 30% of the properties in some popular real estate projects have been internally subscribed before they are launched.
3.Crowdfunding real estate speculation: Multiple people raise funds to buy a new house, and the profits are distributed according to the proportion of investment. This approach lowers the personal capital threshold, but also increases legal risks.
4.policy circumvention: Bypassing the purchase restriction policy through fake divorce, purchasing a house in the name of the company, etc. Recently, a city investigated and dealt with 127 cases of false divorce and house purchase.
5.Off-plan resale: Before the property is delivered, it changes hands through name change or contract transfer. This method requires cooperation from the developer and usually requires additional fees.
3. Analysis of costs and benefits of new house speculation in popular cities
| city | Average new house price (yuan/㎡) | real estate speculation cycle | average rate of return | Policy risk level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhen | 78,500 | 3-6 months | 15-25% | high |
| Hangzhou | 42,300 | 6-12 months | 10-18% | in |
| Chengdu | 21,800 | 12-18 months | 8-15% | in |
| Wuhan | 18,600 | 18-24 months | 5-12% | low |
4. The latest risks and regulatory measures faced by real estate speculators
1.Tighter capital supervision: Many places require that the down payment for a new home must come from the home buyer’s personal account, and the flow of funds must be strictly checked.
2.Restricted sale period extended: Some cities have extended the sales restriction period for new homes from 2 years to 5 years, which greatly increases the time occupied by funds for real estate speculation.
3.Lottery real-name system: Use facial recognition and other technologies to ensure the authenticity of the lottery and combat the behavior of "lottery groups".
4.tax audit: High value-added taxes are levied on short-term transaction properties, and some areas have begun to trace the historical transactions of real estate speculators.
5.credit penalty: Illegal real estate speculation will be included in the personal credit system, affecting loans and other financial activities.
5. Professionals’ views on new house speculation
Real estate expert Professor Wang said: "The current real estate speculation in the new housing market has seriously disrupted the market order, and it is expected that more stringent regulatory policies will be introduced in the second half of the year. It is recommended that investors turn to long-term value investment rather than short-term speculation."
Lawyer Ms. Li reminded: "Many real estate speculation techniques may seem clever, but in fact they are suspected of being illegal. In particular, false materials, yin and yang contracts and other behaviors will face legal sanctions once verified."
Manager Zhang from the bank's credit department pointed out: "Recently, banks have been extremely strict in reviewing the source of funds for home purchases. If any abnormalities are found, they will refuse loans and may be blacklisted."
Conclusion:
Although new house speculation may bring short-term gains, the accompanying policy risks and legal risks are rising sharply. With the continuous improvement of regulatory measures, the survival space of the traditional real estate speculation model is getting smaller and smaller. Investors should view the real estate market rationally and avoid blindly following the trend of speculation.
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